網誌分類：高級投資分析 |
親愛的讀者:
自上次之後，環球情況有變，手持現金為上，亦有數個隱憂，如互相牽引，足以引發全球股災。
能承受風險者及技術足夠者，可自行考慮造淡（但緊記嚴守止蝕）。 因課堂上沒提及如何造淡，如本身不懂造淡者，千萬不要亂試，因反彈力可以是極強！
如跌勢持續，初步目標是17,400至17,800，如有連鎖效應，跌幅可能遠不止此數!
除非期指能重上19,400點以上並穩守，否則暫時不會造好。
如期指在18,600至19,200點上落，我會選擇隔岸觀火，待方向明確，才再另訂策略。
Philip Wah
免責聲明： 以上的討論內容純粹為教育交流而設，並不涉及任何投資建議。 讀者在投資前，必須先行作出獨立分析，或詢問投資顧問的意見。
Disclaimer: The above discussions are for educational purpose only. Readers should perform independent analysis or seek advice from investment advisors before investing their hard earned money!
Kenneth 2007-03-08 12:55
Sounds like you are shorting, do you think shorting futures is better or options/warrants?
From Bloomberg:
HSI PE:14 Div:3
HSCEI PE:18 Div:1.6
Frankly, the valuation of HSI is becoming quite attractive at this level. But one can hardly say the correction is over after only a week or so. Can you explain a little bit here what makes you think HSI will likely go down to 17400 -17800?
Given your "hit rate", I worried a little bit about my position although they are still "in the money"
Kenneth